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Grain futures closed lower on July 28, 2023, with corn down about 2% and August soybeans down almost 3%, while wheat losses ranged from 0.25% to 1.25%. Traders took profits after recent gains driven by Black Sea tensions and Midwest heat, as cooler and wetter weather was forecast.
Commodity funds were net sellers of major grain contracts on the prior day.
Forecast rains and cooler temperatures ease crop stress during pod-setting and reduce the weather premium in corn and soybeans. Fund selling adds further downward pressure in the near term.
feedstuffs.comBen PotterJul 28, 2023After 357 past bearish weather events, Corn moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -2.2% to +1.3%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 363 past bearish weather events, Soybeans moved a median -0.6% over 5 sessions (42% higher; middle half -2.5% to +1.1%), and -0.2% over 20.
After 334 past bearish weather events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.9% to +1.7%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
