Dollar Hits Highest Value Since July 2025 and Stocks Fall as US and Copom Weigh on Markets

After 301 past bullish macro events, Brazilian Real (BRL per USD) moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -1.2% to +1.7%), and +1.0% over 20.

• Sep 27, 2022EMERGING MARKETS-Buoyant dollar weighs on Latam FX; stocks slide - Monex USA-3.9%
• Nov 10, 2022EMERGING MARKETS-Brazil's real sinks 4%, other FX rally on dollar weakness+6.0%
• Apr 25, 2023EMERGING MARKETS-Mexico's peso falls on growth worries, stronger dollar-1.3%
• Jun 25, 2020Latam stocks fall on virus woes; Mexican peso weak before rate move - Markets - Business Recorder+0.9%
• Jun 28, 2022US Dollar has upside through the end of this year and into the early parts of 2023 – Wells Fargo — Octa+3.5%

After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.

• Feb 2, 2018Oil prices fall as US stock market slumps and dollar strengthens+1.7%
• Jun 23, 2023Stocks fall, dollar up as investors weigh more rate hikes | Reuters+0.6%
• Nov 9, 2016Dollar rises vs yen to highest since July 27+3.1%
• Mar 27, 2026Japanese yen hits 160 per dollar, weakest since July 2024+0.1%
• Sep 27, 2022EMERGING MARKETS-Buoyant dollar weighs on Latam FX; stocks slide - Monex USA-1.1%