
Farm Action says prices for U.S. cows used in ground beef have fallen nearly 20% since President Trump’s expanded beef import plan began, reducing revenue by about $319 for a rancher selling a 1,200-pound cow. The group says meatpackers are paying 16.6% less for lean beef, while consumers have seen only small savings; the plan was announced as a 90-day effort to increase imports.
Additional imported lean beef adds to U.S. supply and puts downward pressure on cattle prices, though the reported savings have accrued more to meatpackers than consumers. Lower rancher returns may also weaken incentives to rebuild the domestic herd over time.
After 121 past bearish trade events, Live Cattle moved a median -0.6% over 5 sessions (40% higher; middle half -1.6% to +0.8%), and -0.3% over 20.
After 87 past bearish trade events, Feeder Cattle moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -3.2% to +1.9%), and +1.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.