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Bundesbank President and ECB Governing Council member Joachim Nagel said a December rate increase was “rather obvious.” He described the recent decline in energy prices as welcome but said the ECB would do what is needed to return inflation to 2%.
A likely ECB rate hike could support the euro, while lower energy costs may ease some input-cost pressure for European producers and feed buyers.
After 388 past bullish macro events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.4% to +1.1%), and +0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.