
Government and think-tank estimates cited in the article put the federal biofuel mandate’s added cost at 6.8 cents per gallon of gasoline and 18.6 cents per gallon of diesel under the EPA’s proposed rule. A separate estimate based on credit prices put the cost as high as 37 cents per gallon, though its author described that method as aggressive and said it was being reconsidered.
Estimates that the mandate raises fuel costs could add to pressure for policy changes that reduce blending obligations. Any resulting cut could weaken ethanol use and corn demand, but the article reports estimates rather than a change in policy.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 310 past bearish policy events, Corn moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.9%), and +0.6% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.