
The Biden administration is considering large cuts to US renewable fuel blending requirements, according to a document seen by Reuters. The EPA would lower mandates for 2020 and 2021 to about 17.1 and 18.6 billion gallons, below the 20.1 billion gallons previously finalized.
Lower ethanol blending mandates would reduce demand for corn used in ethanol and for soybean oil used in biofuels, which is bearish for corn and soybean oil prices.
After 310 past bearish policy events, CORN moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.9%), and +0.6% over 20.
After 351 past bearish policy events, SBO moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.8%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.