Gold fell about 2.2% after October U.S. inflation came in hotter than expected, with hawkish remarks from a Fed policymaker adding to expectations of a rate hike next month. The dollar index rose, while lower oil prices and optimism about U.S.-Iran peace negotiations had recently eased some inflation concerns.
A firmer dollar and higher rate expectations can pressure dollar-priced commodities, while lower crude prices ease energy-cost pressure. The immediate macro signal is modestly bearish for feed commodities, though no specific feed market is cited.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
After 565 past bearish macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -1.4% over 5 sessions (41% higher; middle half -5.9% to +3.0%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.