
The national average grocery price for a whole frozen turkey was $1.26 per pound in early November, up from $1.03 a year earlier. Texas A&M AgriLife economist David Anderson said turkey supply has recovered from last year's bird-flu losses, with no shortage expected and more stores offering promotions.
A recovered flock and ample availability limit the risk of holiday supply tightness, even as retail prices remain above last year. Restored turkey production also supports poultry feed demand, including corn and soybean meal.
After 56 past bullish disease events, Corn moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -1.5% to +1.6%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 67 past bullish disease events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (46% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.9%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.