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The article examines how crops performed in the year following past strong El Niño winters, comparing state yields with trend-line expectations. It reports that winter wheat yields in the Plains were notably above normal in some states, including an average 18% increase in South Dakota and 14% in Nebraska.
The historical results suggest El Niño may affect next year’s regional wheat yields, potentially easing supply concerns in parts of the Plains if similar patterns recur.
southernagtoday.orgGrant GardnerNov 9, 2026After 334 past bearish weather events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.9% to +1.7%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
