
The US dollar edged lower on Monday as worries about AI stocks and renewed US-Iran strikes eased, improving investor sentiment. It remained near levels reached after Friday’s stronger-than-expected US jobs report, while the euro and sterling rose against the dollar.
Improved risk appetite reduced safe-haven demand for the dollar, while expectations for US interest rates continue to shape currency markets. A weaker dollar can support dollar-priced commodities by making them less expensive for overseas buyers.
After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
After 388 past bullish macro events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.4% to +1.1%), and +0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.