Unfavorable weather and difficulty securing water hurt crop yields for Idaho farmers in 2026. Idaho’s average wheat yield fell to 77.2 bushels per acre from 93.5 a year earlier, while barley yield declined to 100 from 112 bushels per acre.
Lower wheat and barley yields tighten regional grain supply and are supportive of prices, although the report gives no broader production or market impact.
After 1,072 past bullish weather events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (55% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.3%), and +0.3% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.