The dollar traded around 50.16–50.18 lira, despite a decline in the global dollar index toward 102. US payrolls rose by 165,000, above expectations, and markets raised the implied probability of a December Fed rate increase to 81%; US inflation figures are due this week.
Higher US-rate expectations may support the dollar and increase the lira cost of imported feed and farm inputs. The narrow trading range points to a limited immediate move.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 359 past neutral macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -0.4% to +0.4%), and -0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.