Can Indonesia Sustain B50 When Palm Oil Feedstock Is Scarce?

After 548 past bullish policy events, Palm Oil moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (61% higher; middle half -0.7% to +2.1%), and +0.9% over 20.

• Feb 3, 2017Low palm oil stocks in Indonesia boost prices+0.7%
• Jul 25, 2025Indonesia’s B50 Biodiesel Tightens Palm Oil Supply-0.5%
• Jun 2, 2025Indonesia's B50 push could lift global palm oil prices: report+2.3%
• Apr 28, 2022Why Indonesia’s Palm Oil Export Ban Could Backfire | Carnegie Endowment for International Peace+8.6%
• Feb 6, 2020Indonesia’s biodiesel thirst may weaken palm oil exports-2.7%

After 27 past neutral policy events, ULSD / Diesel moved a median -1.4% over 5 sessions (41% higher; middle half -4.3% to +2.6%), and -4.6% over 20.

• Jan 13, 2023Indonesia palm oil export curbs, biodiesel plans to hit world vegoil supplies+7.3%
• Apr 26, 2019Minister: Govt to intervene in event of steep palm oil, biofuel price hike | Malay Mail-1.2%
• Nov 7, 2024Indonesia targets three-year timeline for 50% biodiesel mandate-2.4%
• Apr 29, 2022Oil prices reverse late in session as heating oil contract plunges-13.3%
• Aug 27, 2020Crude oil or cooking oil? For some U.S. refiners, it's now a choice-4.5%