
An estimated record 1.28 billion barrels of crude were aboard tankers, up 180 million barrels from the earlier level of 1.10 billion. Longer routes and ship-to-ship transfers are extending transit times as Middle Eastern exports recover following disruption to the Strait of Hormuz, leaving more oil in transit before it reaches refineries.
Longer shipping times delay crude deliveries and can keep effective near-term refinery supply tight, supporting crude and transport costs despite the large volume at sea. The impact depends on how quickly shipments arrive and congestion eases.
After 26 past bullish logistics events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +1.2% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -5.1% to +9.5%), and +2.0% over 20.
After 22 past bullish logistics events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median -0.7% over 5 sessions (45% higher; middle half -5.7% to +4.5%), and -1.2% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.