
USDA data show ocean freight rates for bulk grains rising for five consecutive weeks, with US Gulf to Japan at $79 per mt as of March 10. The rate increase is attributed to higher crude oil prices from the Ukraine war, which disrupted Black Sea trade and pushed Brent spot prices toward $117/b expected in March.
Higher bulk freight costs raise delivered prices for imported feed grains in Asia and Europe and support US export competitiveness versus Black Sea origins, while fuel-driven costs add to buyers' landed expenses.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 22 past bullish logistics events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median -0.7% over 5 sessions (45% higher; middle half -5.7% to +4.5%), and -1.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.