India received 13% less rainfall during the southwest monsoon, while total Kharif sowing remained near 130.25 million hectares, down 1% year over year. The USDA forecast corn sowing would fall 3%, and below-normal rainfall and looming El Niño conditions are expected to shape Rabi planting toward more drought-resilient crops.
Reduced rainfall and lower corn sowing could constrain future Indian corn availability, lending support to prices if the shortfall persists.
After 1,465 past bullish weather events, Corn moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.9%), and +0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.