Dollar reaches R$5.50 on strong US jobs data and fiscal caution

After 301 past bullish macro events, Brazilian Real (BRL per USD) moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -1.2% to +1.7%), and +1.0% over 20.

• Jul 2, 2024Latam assets drop on fiscal policy, interest rates caution-2.8%
• Dec 9, 2021Strong dollar weighs on Latin American currencies | Financial Post+3.1%
• Sep 23, 2024Dollar rises more than 1% at the start of a week marked by inflation data in Brazil and the US | Brasil 247-1.1%
• Dec 23, 2025Real slides on election fears, seasonal dollar outflows-1.4%
• Apr 25, 2022Brazilian real tumbles amid rallying dollar and local tensions+3.5%

After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.

• Jan 10, 2025Rand Tumbles Above 19 as Dollar Strengthens on US Jobs Data+0.1%
• Nov 1, 2017Dollar rises on strong U.S. data, Fed signals | Reuters+0.1%
• Apr 18, 2024US dollar gains after strong data, Fed comments on rate cuts-0.1%
• Dec 10, 2023Australian dollar to fall on strong US jobs - MacroBusiness-0.8%
• Aug 31, 2016Strong dollar remains anchor on prices-1.2%