Chicago soybeans rallied to set their biggest weekly gain in 22 years as forecasts pointed to hot, dry weather in the U.S. Midwest in early August. Corn was near flat but on track for its biggest weekly rise in nearly five months, and soybean meal hit life-of-contract highs in most months.
Hot, dry weather during soybean pod development threatens yields when old-crop supplies are already tight. Strong meal demand and tight supplies point to higher feed costs for buyers.
After 1,079 past bullish weather events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.0%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 1,465 past bullish weather events, Corn moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.9%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 453 past bullish weather events, Soybean Meal moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (55% higher; middle half -1.6% to +2.7%), and +0.5% over 20.
After 1,072 past bullish weather events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (55% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.3%), and +0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Soybeans posted their biggest weekly gain in 22 years on hot, dry Midwest forecasts, and soybean meal hit life-of-contract highs, which directly explains the 5-day rally.