
Soybean planting in Mato Grosso reached 96.07% of the projected area by Friday, up 7 percentage points over the week. Favorable weather has kept planting ahead of both last year’s pace and the five-year average for the 2026/27 season.
Fast planting under favorable conditions reduces establishment risk and supports expectations for Brazilian soybean supply, a bearish influence if crop development also remains favorable.
After 363 past bearish weather events, Soybeans moved a median -0.6% over 5 sessions (42% higher; middle half -2.5% to +1.1%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.