
MUFG analysts said a technology-led equity selloff and safe-haven demand for the dollar and yen were weighing on Asian currencies, offsetting support from lower oil prices and U.S. yields. They noted that stronger-than-expected JOLTS and ADP data raised the possibility that October nonfarm payrolls could exceed expectations, potentially reinforcing expectations of further Fed tightening and pressuring currencies such as the Taiwanese dollar and Korean won.
A stronger dollar can raise the local-currency cost of imported feed and agricultural commodities across Asia, while risk aversion may add pressure to regional currencies. Lower oil prices provide some offset by easing energy and freight costs.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 565 past bearish macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -1.4% over 5 sessions (41% higher; middle half -5.9% to +3.0%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.