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A global bond sell-off saw US 10-year yields approach 1.55% and Australian bond yields rise 50bp in a week. Higher real US rates pressured high-yield emerging market currencies such as the rand and peso, along with local bond markets.
Higher real rates and weaker emerging-market currencies can raise the cost of imported feed and reduce import demand in those markets. The price effect on feed commodities is mainly through currency channels.
think.ing.comChris TurnerFeb 26, 2021After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Bond sell-off raised real US rates and pressured EM and risk currencies, supporting the dollar.
