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ING notes that Australia's above-consensus 3.6% April CPI has hit the local bond market and removes the chance of an RBA rate cut this year. The note also highlights that US yields are pushing USD/JPY toward the 157.50 to 158.00 intervention zone.
Higher-for-longer rates in Australia and the US keep the dollar firm, which weighs modestly on dollar-denominated commodity prices. The direct effect on feed markets is small.
think.ing.comChris Turner, Francesco Pesole, Frantisek TaborskyMay 29, 2024Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
