
WTI settled at $90.83 per barrel on Friday after falling more than 12% over the week. Prices had declined amid hopes that US election results and diplomatic efforts could help resolve the conflict with Iran, then recovered somewhat as tensions persisted.
Hopes of de-escalation can ease the geopolitical risk premium and weigh on crude, while stalled negotiations may limit further declines. Cheaper crude can lower energy-related costs across feed supply chains.
After 255 past bearish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -2.4% over 5 sessions (31% higher; middle half -7.0% to +1.7%), and -5.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.