
USDA data show 65,409 Mexican feedlot cattle entered the United States from January through October 30, 2026, down 71.3% from the same period last year. Comecarne says exports have averaged about 364 head per day since trade resumed, far below the 1,500-head daily pace initially projected, as crossings reopen under enhanced screwworm inspections.
Reduced Mexican cattle shipments tighten feeder-cattle availability for US feedlots, supporting US feeder-cattle prices. The gradual reopening may ease that pressure, but inspection controls are keeping flows well below prior levels.
After 122 past bullish disease events, Feeder Cattle moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -1.0% to +1.6%), and +2.0% over 20.
After 148 past bullish disease events, Live Cattle moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.5% to +1.2%), and +1.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.