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New York crude futures rose 7.1% on Monday, March 21, 2022. European Union countries were pushing for a fifth round of sanctions on Russia, including a possible ban on Russian oil imports that analysts expect to have a significant effect on global crude markets.
An EU oil import ban on Russia would remove large volumes from global supply, supporting crude prices and raising costs for energy, fertilizer and freight used in feed production.
bloomberg.comJulia FanzeresMar 20, 2022After 626 past bullish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +2.1% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -2.3% to +8.5%), and +1.6% over 20.
After 656 past bullish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +1.9% over 5 sessions (63% higher; middle half -2.7% to +6.6%), and +0.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Crude futures rose about 7% on March 21 on EU fifth-sanctions-package and possible Russian oil ban expectations, a supply-risk driver inside the window.
Crude rose over 7% on March 21 as the EU pushed a fifth sanctions round that could ban Russian oil, raising expected supply loss.
