The Philippine peso strengthened to 62.97 per US dollar on November 5, its strongest close in nearly a month. Analysts attributed the gain to a weaker US dollar, lower global oil prices and expectations that the US election outcome could encourage efforts to ease the Iran conflict.
A stronger peso lowers the local-currency cost of imported feed and fuel, while softer oil can reduce transport and production costs. The story points to a weaker US dollar and lower crude prices.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
After 565 past bearish macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -1.4% over 5 sessions (41% higher; middle half -5.9% to +3.0%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 312 past bearish macro events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median -1.7% over 5 sessions (38% higher; middle half -5.4% to +2.3%), and -1.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.