
Oil fell about 4% after July surveys showed factory activity in the US, Europe and Asia losing momentum amid weak global demand and China's COVID-related restrictions. The data raised fears of economies sliding into recession.
Weakening manufacturing demand reduces expected crude consumption, pressuring energy prices and the cost base for feed ingredients and freight.
After 565 past bearish macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -1.4% over 5 sessions (41% higher; middle half -5.9% to +3.0%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 312 past bearish macro events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median -1.7% over 5 sessions (38% higher; middle half -5.4% to +2.3%), and -1.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
A roughly 4% drop on Aug 1 after weak July factory surveys in the US, Europe and Asia and China COVID restrictions raised demand concerns and started the week's selloff.