
Pakistan is facing a shortage of imported DAP fertilizer during the 2026–27 Rabi sowing season, with shipments delayed at Karachi Port and supply bottlenecks reported in Punjab and Sindh. Industry sources warn that delays in applying phosphate fertilizer could reduce wheat yields by 20–25%, while dealers are rationing stocks and prices are rising.
Port and distribution delays are restricting fertilizer availability during a critical application window, potentially lowering Pakistan’s wheat output and increasing demand for imported grain. Tight DAP availability also supports fertilizer prices.
After 31 past bullish logistics events, DAP moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -0.4% to +0.9%), and +1.6% over 20.
After 283 past bullish logistics events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (46% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.3%), and -0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.