BIMCO warned that renewed Russian missile attacks on merchant ships in Ukrainian ports threaten 1% of global dry bulk exports. Five merchant ships have been hit since September 2024, the first such attacks since November 2023.
War-risk insurance premiums have already risen, though export volumes have so far been limited.
Higher war-risk insurance and possible disruption to Black Sea grain shipments could raise freight costs and food prices for importers.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 283 past bullish logistics events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (46% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.3%), and -0.1% over 20.
After 285 past bullish logistics events, Corn moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.5% to +1.5%), and +0.8% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.