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Argentinian seaborne grain flows are running about 40% below the five-year average, and Panamax freight rates for East Coast South America are near their lowest since 2021. Drought and frost concerns for Argentine crops are weighing on fronthaul grain freight recovery hopes.
A smaller Argentine harvest means fewer soybean and corn cargoes, reducing demand for Panamax ships and keeping freight rates depressed, which lowers shipping costs for feed importers in the region but signals weaker South American export volumes.
spglobal.comNikolaos Aidinis AntonopoulosFeb 21, 2023Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 206 past bullish logistics events, Soybeans moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (56% higher; middle half -1.3% to +2.6%), and +1.4% over 20.
After 285 past bullish logistics events, Corn moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.5% to +1.5%), and +0.8% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
