
Retail cereal inflation in India reached 7.74% in September, and experts say it could approach 10% by December 2026; sugar prices are reported to have risen nearly 30% in a year. Below-average rain and El Niño have affected farming and rabi-season sowing, with crop and irrigation-water stress reported in parts of Maharashtra and other regions.
The text also says milk, eggs and chicken are becoming more expensive.
Weather-related crop stress could tighten supplies of cereals and feed ingredients, supporting prices; higher feed costs can also add pressure to poultry and dairy production costs. Inflation may prompt the Reserve Bank of India to raise interest rates, although the article gives no specific commodity price forecasts.
After 1,072 past bullish weather events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (55% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.3%), and +0.3% over 20.
After 1,465 past bullish weather events, Corn moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.9%), and +0.9% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 32 past bullish weather events, Milk (Class III) moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -0.7% to +3.4%), and +3.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.