Indian egg and chicken prices could rise 25-30% by December as maize and broken rice feed costs have jumped 30-45% in a month. Maize has risen from about Rs 26-27 to Rs 34 per kg and broken rice from Rs 22-23 to Rs 31-32 per kg, with hoarding by traders and farmers adding to the rally.
A deficient monsoon is expected to cut kharif maize output.
Broken rice and maize are core poultry feed grains, so tightening Indian supplies and hoarding support feed grain prices and raise demand for alternative feed ingredients, while egg and chicken margins come under pressure.
After 1,465 past bullish weather events, Corn moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.9%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 179 past bullish weather events, Rough Rice moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (55% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.5%), and +2.2% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.