Oil rises over $2 as investors assess Iran war future

After 323 past bullish macro events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +0.7% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -2.9% to +3.7%), and +1.3% over 20.

• Apr 1, 2026Oil shock from Middle East war pushes investors to shun Asian currencies: Reuters poll-12.2%
• Aug 10, 2020WTI Futures Rise on US Stimulus Progress+1.3%
• Apr 30, 2026Global energy costs rise as Iran war affects Brent crude oil price | AP News-15.3%
• Aug 24, 2021Crude oil futures extend gains after overnight vault as outlook improves | S&P Global+5.7%
• Oct 28, 2026South African rand softens as oil prices rise, Fed in focus | CNBC Africa-4.7%

After 487 past bullish macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +1.0% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -2.0% to +4.0%), and +1.5% over 20.

• Oct 1, 2026Pound falls to three-month lows as investors fret over rates, oil | Financial News-2.3%
• Aug 10, 2020WTI Futures Rise on US Stimulus Progress+2.1%
• Apr 12, 2023Oil rises 2% on lower-than-expected US inflation data | Reuters-0.8%
• Oct 1, 2026Dollar flat as US-Iran stand-off lifts oil, yields-2.3%
• May 28, 2021Canadian dollar falls as investors weigh US inflation surge - Markets - Business Recorder+4.1%