
The dollar fell briefly to the 157.70 yen range in Tokyo trading on Thursday as US long-term Treasury yields declined. Expectations that Democratic control would curb Trump-era spending and lower oil prices also weighed on the dollar.
Lower oil and narrower rate differentials weaken the dollar, which eases dollar-priced import costs for yen-based feed buyers. The effect on grain prices is indirect.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 565 past bearish macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -1.4% over 5 sessions (41% higher; middle half -5.9% to +3.0%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.