
Revised tender conditions limit rice-based ethanol to 4.84 billion litres of an 11-billion-litre target. Maize is expected to fill the remaining ethanol gap alongside poultry and feed demand.
Shifting ethanol demand onto maize tightens corn supply for Indian feed users and could lift domestic corn prices.
After 318 past bullish policy events, Corn moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.5%), and -0.2% over 20.
After 100 past bearish policy events, Rough Rice moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.6%), and +0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.