Gold clings to gains above $4,100 as USD slides on election fallout

After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.

• Aug 28, 2024AUD/USD clings to gains near 0.6800 as RBA unlikely to cut interest rates this year+0.5%
• Oct 11, 2024Gold extends gains over 1% as US PPI data solidifies rate cut hopes+0.7%
• Feb 23, 2026Sterling firms against dollar; tariff fallout, Manchester election in focus | Reuters-0.1%
• Sep 30, 2022Dollar gains on euro after inflation data, sterling falls-0.2%
• Apr 7, 2025Euro gains alongside safe-havens as Trump tariff fallout grips markets-1.4%

After 565 past bearish macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -1.4% over 5 sessions (41% higher; middle half -5.9% to +3.0%), and -0.5% over 20.

• Mar 30, 2020USD/CAD climbs to daily highs above 1.4150 as WTI extends slide below $20 - Forex Crunch+64.1%
• Jun 30, 2020USD/CAD clings to modest gains, remains below 1.3700 mark post-Canadian GDP — Octa+2.3%
• Jul 30, 2020USD/CAD jumps to weekly highs above 1.3450 on oil selloff — Octa+2.6%
• May 23, 2022Stocks rally as euro gains on likely rate hikes+1.9%
• Jun 1, 2025Oil falls as higher OPEC+ output expectations weigh on sentiment+6.2%