
The rupee strengthened to a 15-day high of 94.33 per dollar as crude fell after the US midterm results, with Brent down about 8.5% to $94.20 in Asian trade. Foreign portfolio investor inflows also supported the currency.
Markets are pricing a lower chance of prolonged US-Iran conflict, which removes part of the oil risk premium. For India, lower crude and inflows support the rupee and reduce inflation pressure.
After 312 past bearish macro events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median -1.7% over 5 sessions (38% higher; middle half -5.4% to +2.3%), and -1.7% over 20.
After 565 past bearish macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -1.4% over 5 sessions (41% higher; middle half -5.9% to +3.0%), and -0.5% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.