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US markets rallied on January 10 after the USDA projected lower US soybean and corn production following a dry end to the growing season. Corn rose 3.18%, soybeans 2.63%, and soyoil 6.59%, while wheat gained only slightly.
The corn yield was cut 3.8 bpa from November to 179.3 bpa.
Lower projected US corn and soybean supplies tighten old-crop balances and support feed grain prices, raising input costs for feed buyers.
linkedin.comSANDRO FILIPPO PUGLISIJan 13, 2025After 1,040 past bullish report events, Corn moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.9% to +2.0%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 747 past bullish report events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.1%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 296 past bullish report events, Soybean Oil moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.8% to +2.0%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 250 past neutral report events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
This newswire directly attributes the Jan 10 corn rally to the USDA's lower production estimate and the corn yield cut of 3.8 bpa to 179.3 bpa, which tightens supply.
