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The Federal Reserve's January 2019 Beige Book reported mixed agricultural conditions across districts, with drought largely absent in the Southeast. The Chicago district noted corn, soybean and wheat prices rose on U.S.-China trade talks and a Chinese soybean purchase, and government Market Facilitation Program payments supported farm income.
The Beige Book reflects rising crop prices tied to trade optimism, which supports feed grain and soybean meal prices. Delayed government payments due to the shutdown could affect farm spending and feed demand.
farmpolicynews.illinois.eduKeith GoodJan 16, 2019After 1,040 past bullish report events, Corn moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.9% to +2.0%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 747 past bullish report events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.1%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 769 past bullish report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.0%), and +0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
