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USDA's Economic Research Service forecasts 2018 net farm income falling $4.3 billion to $59.5 billion, the lowest in nominal terms since 2006. Crop cash receipts are forecast down slightly, with corn receipts falling 4.0% and soybean receipts rising 4.5%.
Lower corn receipts signal weaker producer income and possibly reduced input purchasing, while higher expected soybean receipts point to larger quantities sold. The forecast supports a bearish corn outlook relative to soybeans.
farmpolicynews.illinois.eduKeith GoodFeb 8, 2018After 1,102 past bearish report events, Corn moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.8% to +1.3%), and +0.0% over 20.
After 747 past bullish report events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.1%), and +0.8% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
