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USDA's Foreign Agricultural Service raised its 2022/23 China soybean import forecast to a record 100.0 million tons in its August oilseeds report. China had already imported about 84.5 million tons through 10 months, and 2023/24 imports are forecast at 99.0 million tons.
Brazilian and other South American supply has been winning share from the US.
A record Chinese import forecast signals very strong global soybean demand, supporting soybean and meal prices, while the shift in origin affects US export competitiveness.
farmpolicynews.illinois.eduKeith GoodAug 13, 2023After 747 past bullish report events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.1%), and +0.8% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
