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The USDA Foreign Agricultural Service forecasts China will import a record 100 million tonnes of soybeans in 2022-23 due to rising feed demand and limited supply. Oilseed production is projected at 62.4 million tonnes, with imports covering 62% of domestic consumption.
The agency also revised 2021-22 soybean imports down to 95 million tonnes amid weak swine and poultry demand.
A record Chinese import pace would absorb a large share of global soybean exports, supporting prices for soybeans and meal. Downward revisions to recent imports and feed mills trimming meal inclusion are the main offsetting signals.
world-grain.comSusan ReidyMar 21, 2022After 747 past bullish report events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.1%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 414 past bullish report events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -2.1% to +2.3%), and +0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
