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The Federal Reserve's April 2021 Beige Book reported that Chicago District agricultural prices rose, with corn and soybean prices higher and wheat lagging. Dry conditions set the stage for a fast planting season, and Atlanta District reported mixed conditions with abnormal dryness in some areas.
Higher corn and soybean prices improve farm income and reflect tightening feed grain supply, while dry planting conditions raise yield risk.
farmpolicynews.illinois.eduKeith GoodApr 14, 2021After 1,040 past bullish report events, Corn moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.9% to +2.0%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 747 past bullish report events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.1%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 406 past neutral report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.5%), and +0.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
