Palm oil jumps nearly 5% to 12-wk highs on supply woes - Markets

After 15 past bullish logistics events, Palm Oil moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.4% to +3.9%), and +0.5% over 20.

• Sep 30, 2024Palm Oil News - The Lack of Soyoil in Brazil Made Supply Crisis to Biodiesel Production+9.1%
• Feb 29, 2024Global supply shortfall, higher freight rates may raise edible oil prices+4.9%
• Jun 24, 2020Malaysian palm oil producers step up perks to retain foreign workers amid pandemic-1.0%
• Sep 30, 2021Palm oil futures hit all-time high as China rushes to fill soy oil shortage | S&P Global+9.8%
• May 20, 2022Recriminations fly as Indonesia resumes palm oil exports+2.6%

After 85 past bullish logistics events, Soybean Oil moved a median +0.7% over 5 sessions (64% higher; middle half -1.3% to +2.7%), and +3.1% over 20.

• Sep 30, 2024Palm Oil News - The Lack of Soyoil in Brazil Made Supply Crisis to Biodiesel Production+0.5%
• Feb 29, 2024Global supply shortfall, higher freight rates may raise edible oil prices+0.5%
• Jan 23, 2026Ukraine Sunflower Prices Hit Season Highs in 2025/2026 Marketing Year | Межа+2.6%
• Jan 27, 2026Ukraine Sees Record Sunflower Prices Amid Power Outages and Export Market Shifts | Tridge Insights-0.9%
• Sep 30, 2021Palm oil futures hit all-time high as China rushes to fill soy oil shortage | S&P Global+2.2%

After 206 past bullish logistics events, Soybeans moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (56% higher; middle half -1.3% to +2.6%), and +1.4% over 20.

• Dec 23, 2020Soybeans gain as South American supply falters - Markets - Business Recorder+4.5%
• Sep 16, 2021China buys Brazilian soy as hurricane damage limits US exports: traders - Markets - Business Recorder-0.9%
• Jan 27, 2026Soybean, corn barge basis bids turn higher on firm freight, weather woes — TradingView News-0.1%
• Aug 16, 2019Mississippi River Congestion Still Weighs on Soybean Market-0.2%
• Jul 6, 2017The record high soybean import is cause for the Chinese ports' collapse.+4.1%

Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.