Particle: Democratic Takeover of U.S. Congress Weakens Dollar and Gives Modest Lift to the Real

After 213 past bearish macro events, Brazilian Real (BRL per USD) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (46% higher; middle half -1.5% to +0.9%), and +0.2% over 20.

• Sep 26, 2025Dollar weakens against the real after US inflation data | Brasil 247+0.4%
• Dec 4, 2018Brazil stocks gain; real firms as U.S. dollar weakens+2.1%
• Sep 12, 2022Latam currencies rally as dollar weakens ahead of U.S. inflation data+2.6%
• Aug 23, 2021Rebound in commodity prices, weaker dollar lift Latam currencies - Markets - Business Recorder-3.8%
• Jul 10, 2024Latam FX Talking: Making the most of a short-lived rebound | articles | ING THINK+0.5%

After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.

• Sep 23, 2025Rand defies pressure: US tariffs fail to weaken currency’s surge against the Dollar+0.3%
• Jan 30, 2019U.S. Dollar Dives after Federal Reserve Moves to the Sidelines+0.0%
• Jun 10, 2020Possible Fed move to cap yield rise could further weaken U.S. dollar | Financial Post+0.8%
• Nov 21, 2023Gold marches ahead to the beat of a weaker US dollar-0.6%
• Feb 2, 2023Copper prices rise as Fed messaging weakens the dollar | Financial Post+1.3%