Dollar follows external relief after midterms and trades lower against the real

After 213 past bearish macro events, Brazilian Real (BRL per USD) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (46% higher; middle half -1.5% to +0.9%), and +0.2% over 20.

• Aug 6, 2024Dollar closes lower amid external relief and Copom minutes | Brasil 247-4.2%
• Sep 26, 2025Dollar weakens against the real after US inflation data | Brasil 247+0.4%
• Sep 18, 2024Dollar falls for the 6th session against the real after larger interest rate cut by the Fed | Brasil 247-0.6%
• Sep 26, 2024Dollar falls against real after China signals more economic stimulus | Brasil 247-0.8%
• Nov 6, 2017U.S. Dollar Slides Against Emerging Markets on Low Yields - WSJ-0.4%

After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.

• Jul 28, 2022Pound Sterling Extends Gains against Euro and Dollar on post-Fed Relief-0.3%
• Jul 30, 2018Rand gains ground against the dollar+0.2%
• Dec 17, 2021Ringgit opens lower against US dollar-0.2%
• Apr 30, 2020Pound-Dollar Rate Aims for the Stars after Federal Reserve Swerves Onto Main Street+0.7%
• Jan 30, 2019U.S. Dollar Dives after Federal Reserve Moves to the Sidelines+0.0%