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The spot dollar closed at 5.6588 reais on Tuesday, down 1.44% after a surge in prior sessions, as global markets eased recession fears. Brazil's Copom minutes signaled the central bank may raise the Selic rate in the short term if needed to curb inflation.
Expectations of Selic hikes support the real and can make Brazilian commodity exports pricier in dollar terms, while the easing of global risk aversion affects emerging-market currency flows relevant to feed trade.
en.brasil247.comRedação Brasil 247Aug 6, 2024After 213 past bearish macro events, Brazilian Real (BRL per USD) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (46% higher; middle half -1.5% to +0.9%), and +0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
On 2024-08-06 the dollar closed down 1.44% against the real as global recession fears eased and Copom minutes hinted at possible Selic hikes, which directly explains the real's rebound (sentiment and rate-differential mechanism).
On Aug 6 the dollar fell 1.44% against the real as global recession fears eased and Copom minutes hinted at a possible Selic hike, which supports BRL through risk sentiment and the rate differential.
