
The IEA's Global Gas Security Review 2026 finds that growing LNG supply, especially from North America and more flexible contracts, is helping markets absorb the Hormuz supply shock. Europe is entering winter with its lowest gas storage in over a decade, and the IEA projects global LNG supply to fall about 3% in 2026.
Tight storage and scarce flexible cargoes could keep gas and power costs elevated into 2027, raising energy costs for feed producers in Europe and Asia. The IEA's view of easing supply offers some offset to the price pressure.
After 74 past bullish report events, Natural Gas moved a median +1.3% over 5 sessions (55% higher; middle half -4.0% to +11.3%), and +2.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.