
Short-term US corn imports by Mexico are falling, while Brazilian FOB offers are cheaper and Ukrainian freight costs have risen. Chinese feed formulations are also shifting away from corn and soymeal.
Chicago corn futures are slightly lower while Euronext prices remain historically high.
Cheaper Brazilian supply and weaker US sales to Mexico pressure US corn export prices, while higher Black Sea freight narrows Ukrainian competitiveness.
After 683 past bearish trade events, Corn moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.6%), and +0.3% over 20.
After 384 past bearish trade events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.6%), and -0.5% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.