
China imported 12.56 million metric tons of corn in the first eight months of 2024, down nearly 16% year on year. Its early-2024 lead over 2023 disappeared in May, and the deficit has widened since.
U.S. shipments have thinned since China cleared Brazilian corn for import in 2022.
Weaker Chinese purchases remove a major outlet for U.S. corn, adding pressure to U.S. export prices and basis. Brazilian competition for Chinese demand is likely to persist.
After 683 past bearish trade events, Corn moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.6%), and +0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.